Sign in to view the tool and track your bets. Sim only — no real money.
🏇 Wayno’s Winning Brief
Bayes leads the card — our strongest model, form plus the live
market — pricing every GB & Irish runner before the off; where no price has formed yet, the stables’
market-blind read stands in. Value splits, market moves and in-form yards, settled forward at Betfair BSP.
No tips, no real money: an honest, out-of-sample read.
connecting…
SIM · PROVING PHASE. Model probabilities, not betting advice — graded forward
on Brier and on ROI at the price you'd actually get (Betfair BSP). We've tested the shortcuts honestly:
the market is efficient where you can bet, and the computable "exotics" (weather, travel, trainer-form)
add nothing. So this is a proving machine and an honest read — the product is the
divergence, watched in the open — not a promise of edge.
Setting the day’s edition…
The Deck
The bets of the day — the combo of the day, forecasts, tricasts, each-way value and the sim’s full bet slip. Model-fair prices, sim only, never advice.
Dealing the deck…
The Wire
Racing off the wires — BBC Sport & The Guardian, refreshed through the day. The stables read these too.
Reading the wire…
Intel Board
The live juice — where the money’s moving, where our model splits from the market, and who’s in form.
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Clusters
Market analysis — where our model splits from the market, rolled up by racecourse, trainer and jockey.
Building the clusters…
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The proving scoreboard
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Calibration trend Brier — lower is better
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Finished races
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The Bookies
Who’s backing what — the four agents’ bets on every race, where they agree, the league’s top line, and your own sim pot to race against them. The full table and the record book live one tab over, under League.
Ones to watch where the team agrees
Reading the agents’ card…
Who’s backing what every agent · every race
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The agents’ decks each plays the exotics
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My Book sim £100 · paper only — never advice
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The League
The league’s own home — the four agents’ full table, then the record book underneath:
the market itself, calibration, splits, records and hot connections. Sim only, honest numbers.
The table points · agents · sim from 31 Jul
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This week’s form last 7 & 3 days · who’s closing
Reading the form…
The daily pots fresh £100 every raceday · stakes £1–£6 · daily champ 👑
Counting the money…
Today’s cards every bet, per racer — streaks in plain sight
Dealing the cards…
The record book every graded race · settled at SP
Opening the record book…
The Stables
Ask Wayno about any race, and follow the horses you rate. Sim only — a read, never advice.
🏇 Ask Waynoyour racing read — sim only, never advice
Ask about any race — e.g. “who’s to watch in the 16:10 at Goodwood?”
Who’s to watch next?Standout forecast today?Biggest market split?
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Tested to destruction
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The Data
Owner view — the 90-day proving run, and the sample accruing toward statistical significance.
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The model’s running slips market-blind lane · every race, live